LONDON -- Growing up, Demba Ba dreamed about scoring big goals for Paris Saint-Germain. With the team he supported as a child on the verge of reaching the Champions League semifinals for the first time in 19 years, Ba instead scored the goal that knocked them out. Now it is Chelsea joining European footballs elite in the last four for the seventh time in 11 years. Ba seemed the most improbable player to complete Chelseas comeback, having been largely overlooked by Jose Mourinho for much of this season, but he delivered from the bench when it mattered most for the 2012 European champions. Bas sixth goal of the season in the 87th minute, after Andre Schuerrles first-half opener, clinched a 2-0 victory that overturned a 3-1 loss from the first leg and sent Chelsea through on away goals. "It happened so quickly," Ba said. "I was on the floor, just looked at the goal, and I saw the ball was in the net. It was a big joy for everyone. I just do what I have to do when I get chances. I havent had many this season." Mourinho was elated, sprinting from the bench to join his celebrating players, who collapsed in a heap on the pitch. "It was not to celebrate -- it was to tell the players how we have to play," Mourinho said. "But you could see that I can still run." And Mourinho is still a winner -- a decade after the Portugueses memorable dash down the Old Trafford touchline in a game against Manchester United during his Porto sides run to the Champions League title. Now Mourinho, having failed to bring the European Cup to Chelsea during his 2004-07 stint in charge, remains on course to win the competition in his first season back at Stamford Bridge, while the team is also second in the Premier League. Joining Chelsea in draw on Friday is Real Madrid, which lost 2-0 at Borussia Dortmund but still went through 3-2 on aggregate. On Wednesday, Bayern Munich hosts Manchester United, and Barcelona takes on Atletico Madrid after both first legs ended 1-1. For PSGs Qatari owners its another season of heartbreak in Europe -- a victim of the away-goals rule in the quarterfinals just as the team was against Barcelona last year -- but the French title is close to be successfully defended. This was a night when PSG needed Zlatan Ibrahimovic, but he was injured in the first leg. Edinson Cavani was relied on for goals but fluffed his chances as Chelsea extended its run without conceding at fortress Stamford Bridge to nine games in all competitions. In a lively start, a menacing cross from Maxwell was sent to the feet of Cavani, but Petr Cech saved at the strikers feet. What seemed to be an early setback for Chelsea proved fortuitous, with Schuerrle replacing the injured Eden Hazard after just 18 minutes and scoring in the 32nd. Branislav Ivanovic launched the ball in from the right, and it was flicked on by David Luiz. Left completely unmarked, Schuerrle had the time and space to calmly dispatch the ball into the net. Until that point, goalkeeper Salvatore Sirigu had only had two serious saves to make, from Frank Lampards free kick and Luizs long-range strike. But, even though Chelseas play was far from incisive or flowing, now the hosts had hope. The crossbar thwarted them twice within two minutes at the start of the second half: first from Schuerrles curling shot and then from Oscars free kick. Mourinho beefed up the strike force in the 66th, bringing Ba on to support the ineffective Samuel Etoo up front. PSGs progress could have been sealed in the 78th when Yohan Cabaye launched the ball forward to Cavani, who missed the target with only Cech to beat. "We had the chance to score and we didnt, so we paid the price for it," PSG midfielder Blaise Matuidi said. With 10 minutes left to keep Chelsea in Europe, Mourinho brought on the third member of his strike force, with out-of-favour Fernando Torres replacing Oscar. Soon, the strikers that Mourinho had criticized in recent weeks were celebrating. An initial shot by Etoo ricocheted to Cesar Azipilicueta. The defenders shot found its way through the visiting defence, and Ba beat Maxwell to the ball -- sweeping it past Sirigu with a left-footed shot from the top of the six-yard box. "In the second half, Chelsea was a lot better and we lacked a bit of fluidity," PSG manager Laurent Blanc said. "But Chelsea believed until the end and they were rewarded." Cheap NHL Jerseys Authentic . Today, he looks at the offensive line. 1. Laurent Duvernay-Tardif (OT, McGill) You Should Know: Over the course of his university career, Duvernay-Tardifs commitments to medical school and the family business frequently limited him to one practice per week, yet he was still the Metras Trophy winner as the Top Lineman in CIS football in 2013. Wholesale Adidas Hockey Jerseys . Nwaneri, who was born in Dallas and attended Naaman Forest High School in nearby Garland, Texas, tweeted, "Its official! Im coming home, Im coming home. http://www.cheapnhljerseysusa.com/. Tony Parker had 33 points and nine assists and San Antonio never trailed in a resounding 116-92 victory over Portland, bullying the younger Trail Blazers in Game 1 of the Western Conference semifinals. Discount Hockey Jerseys . In the days leading up to the draft, TSN.ca and TSN Radio basketball analyst Duane Watson looks at some of the names that will be headlining the event. Tonight, Michigans Nik Stauskas of Mississauga, Ontario. Cheap NHL Jerseys Online .com) - John Wall had 15 points, 12 assists and four steals as the Washington Wizards defeated the New Orleans Pelicans 92-85 on Monday night.No one likes it when luck is referred to when evaluating the performance of hockey players and teams. It goes against our ingrained notion, particularly in sports, that hard work is rewarded and that players create their own luck. But, the truth is, there are so many things that happen on the ice over which a single player has little to no control. Advanced stats pioneer Gabriel Desjardins has taken the position that, in a given season, 38% of the standings results are luck-driven. (Start with shootouts and go from there.) When it comes to individual players, there are a couple of numbers to look at to see if a player has been lucky, getting the bounces, whatever, and that is contributing to better-than-expected results. On-ice shooting percentage refers to the 5-on-5 shooting percentage of all players when a particular player is on the ice. League average goaltending offers about a .922 save percentage in 5-on-5 situations so, naturally, average on-ice shooting percentages come in at 7.8%. Not every player shoots the puck with the same effectiveness, but even the best skaters can only have so much impact on a metric that involves four other skaters at any given time. Very few players can, over the long haul, generate a substantially higher on-ice shooting percentage because it is so dependent on the performance of others. Sure, Sidney Crosby can hover over 11% and random fourth-liners hang around 5% year after year, but somewhere in between is where the vast majority of players fall. (Since 2007, among skaters to play at least 1000 minutes at 5-on-5, 592 of 796 skaters -- 74.4% -- fall between 6.5% and 9.0% on-ice shooting.) The opposite angle of that percentage game is a players on-ice save percentage during 5-on-5 situations and this is another number that, over a larger sample, is beyond a skaters control. A lot of it will depend on the goaltender, though a factor like quality of competition can play into those results too. If youre facing top lines every night, for example, its not easy to hold their shooting percentages to five or six percent. While the standard short-form measure for whether a player has been lucky is PDO (which combines on-ice shooting and save percentages), I thought I would break it into components because, while the tendency is to have a PDO around 1000 over the long haul, there are players that are outside that range. Of 796 skaters to play at least 1000 5-on-5 minutes over the past seven seasons, 39 players have a cumulative PDO higher than 102.00, while 44 players have a PDO lower than 98.00. That leaves 713 of 796 (89.6%) within that 98-102 range. What Ive done is pulled out those players that have the largest differential from their previously-established on-ice shooting and save percentages to see who has benefited or being punished, essentially, by luck. (minimum 1000 5-on-5 minutes 2007-2013; 500 5-on-5 minutes this season) HIGH ON-ICE SHOOTING Francois Beauchemin, D, Anaheim 2007-2013 On-ice SH%: 6.86 2013-14 On-ice SH%: 11.30 Difference: +4.44 Vladimir Sobotka, C, St. Louis 2007-2013 On-ice SH%: 5.91 2013-14 On-ice SH%: 9.14 Difference: +3.23 Ryan Getzlaf, C, Anaheim 2007-2013 On-ice SH%: 9.51 2013-14 On-ice SH%: 12.62 Difference: +3.11 Tyler Bozak, C, Toronto 2007-2013 On-ice SH%: 8.43 2013-14 On-ice SH%: 11.40 Difference: +2.97 Its difficult for individual players to affect on-ice shooting percentage, but especially so for defencemen, because they tend not to shoot the puck as often as forwards. So, Francois Beauchemin being far above his previous norms can be tied to spending a lot of his time on the ice with Ryan Getzlaf and Corey Perry. Oh, and it turns out that Getzlaf is even having more success than usual this year. Blues C Vladimir Sobotka is an interesting case because hes spent much of his career as a third and fourth-liner, and been plenty effective in that role, but with St. Louis, hes had the opportunity to move up the depth chart. His most common linemates have been Jaden Schwartz and Vladimir Tarasenko, much better than typical checking line fare, and that should be at least part of the reason for his dramatic increase. Then we get to Tyler Bozak, the Maple Leafs centre who has come under so much criticism in recent seasons, but has quieted critics this season, scoring 45 points in 53 games. Certainly, Bozak reaps the rewards of playing with Phil Kessel and James van Riemsdyk on Torontos top line, but thats not unfamiliar territory -- Bozak has played a lot with Kessel over the years -- so the conclusion to be drawn from this is that Bozak (like anyone far exceeding their established norms) is likely due for some regression because, no matter how much of a Tyler Bozak supporter you might be, theres no argument to be made that he somehow creates scoring chances at the same calibre of Sidney Crosby over the long haul. LOW ON-ICE SHOOTING Bryan Bickell, LW, Chicago 2007-2013 On-ice SH%: 9.05 2013-14 On-ice SH%: 5.88 Difference: -3.17 Kris Letang, C, Pittsburgh 2007-2013 On-ice SH%: 9.00 2013-14 On-ice SH%: 5.74 Difference: -3.26 Dan Cleary, RW, Detroit 2007-2013 On-ice SH%: 7.90 2013-14 On-ice SH%: 4.58 Difference: -3.32 Steve Ott, C, St. Louis 2007-2013 On-ice SH%: 8.03 2013-14 On-ice SH%: 4.43 Difference: -3.60 Matt Hendricks, LW, Edmonton 2007-2013 On-ice SH%: 6.68 2013-14 On-ice SH%: 3.05 Difference: -3.63 Alex Ovechkin, RW, Washington 2007-2013 On-ice SH%: 9.54 2013-14 On-ice SH%: 5.66 Difference: -3.88 Steve Bernier, RW, New Jersey 2007-2013 On-ice SH%: 8.46 2013-14 On-ice SH%: 4.39 Difference: -4.07 Alexander Edler, D, Vancouver 2007-2013 On-ice SH%: 8.12 2013-14 On-ice SH%: 3.88 Difference: -4.22 Ville Leino, LW, Buffalo 2007-2013 On-ice SH%: 8.52 2013-14 On-ice SH%: 3.53 Difference: -4.99 While this season has obviously been far from ideal for Blackhawks LW Bryan Bickell following his tremendous 2013 playoff performance, he has scored 10 goals, his most since 2010-2011, while playing 11:18 per game. However, Bickell has also managed just two assists in 53 games -- the last one coming December 30 -- so no one is doing much scoring with Bickell on the ice and, in the rare instances that they do, hes rarely part of the scoring play. Veterans Dan Cleary and Steve Bernier run into fourth-line problems. Theres no guarantee that skating on the fourth line is going to leave you with an on-ice shooting percentage that low, but thats not going to happen with a full season on the first line either. To an extreme, look at what has happened with Matt Hendricks, already starting from a relatively low point and still finding a way to cut that percentage more than in half -- he hasnt recorded an assist in 27 games withh Edmonton.dddddddddddd Ville Leino and, since traded Steve Ott suffer from the effects of playing together in Buffalo, apparently. Kris Letang and Alexander Edler counted among the unluckiest defencemen, epecially so in Letangs case since his most common forwards have been Sidney Crosby, Kris Letang and Evgeni Malkin -- not exactly lacking in finishing skill. Of course, we cant ignore Alex Ovechkin, who has spent plenty of time with Nicklas Backstrom and Marcus Johansson, but Ovechkin has been the only one on the Capitals scoring when hes on the ice 5-on-5. In those situations, Ovechkin has 20 goals on 215 shots (9.3%) and the rest of the Capitals on the ice with him have combined for 10 goals on 309 shots (3.2%). Its such a dramatic departure from Ovechkins previous levels, that it doesnt reasonably figure to be the new norm, unless the Capitals decide to keep skating Ovechkin with Jay Beagle on a regular basis. HIGH ON-ICE SAVE PERCENTAGE Paul Ranger, D, Toronto 2007-2013 On-ice SH%: 88.76 2013-14 On-ice SV%: 93.58 Difference: +4.82 Kyle Clifford, LW, Los Angeles 2007-2013 On-ice SH%: 91.75 2013-14 On-ice SV%: 95.41 Difference: +3.66 Nikita Nikitin, D, Columbus 2007-2013 On-ice SV%: 90.73 2013-14 On-ice SV%: 94.32 Difference: +3.59 John Mitchell, C, Colorado 2007-2013 On-ice SV%: 91.71 2013-14 On-ice SV%: 95.21 Difference: +3.50 Marco Scandella, D, Minnesota 2007-2013 On-ice SH%: 90.76 2013-14 On-ice SV%: 94.09 Difference: +3.33 John-Michael Liles, D, Carolina 2007-2013 On-ice SH%: 90.99 2013-14 On-ice SV%: 94.32 Difference: +3.32 Anze Kopitar, C, Los Angeles 2007-2013 On-ice SH%: 91.48 2013-14 On-ice SV%: 94.70 Difference: +3.22 Cody McLeod, LW, Colorado 2007-2013 On-ice SV%: 91.91 2013-14 On-ice SV%: 95.08 Difference: +3.17 Maxime Talbot, RW, Colorado 2007-2013 On-ice SV%: 91.56 2013-14 On-ice SV%: 94.73 Difference: +3.17 Alexei Emelin, D, Montreal 2007-2013 On-ice SV%: 89.68 2013-14 On-ice SV%: 92.84 Difference: +3.16 When you see the list of players that have experienced higher-than-normal save percentages, it doesnt seem to indicate anything more than they are playing in front of goaltenders having strong seasons and thats fine, but given the variance in goaltending from year to year, thats not something upon which you would like to base your opinion of a skater. Paul Ranger is at the extreme end, but his data also has a large gap for the years that he didnt play between the Lightning and the Leafs. Kyle Clifford and Anze Kopitar have strong goaltending in Los Angeles, but theyve had strong goaltending in the past, so it sure seems that theyre extra fortunate this year. The Colorado trio of John Mitchell, Cody McLeod and Maxime Talbot is certainly reaping the rewards of Semyon Varlamovs play. Its those fortuitous percentages that leave them with positive plus-minus numbers despite subpar puck possession stats. Where the value comes in seeing these numbers is in terms of perception. Nikita Nikitin or Marco Scandella may not be held in terribly high regard, but these numbers show that there is some luck involved in their respective plus ratings this season, the type that would be due to regress in time. LOW ON-ICE SAVE PERCENTAGE Pavel Datsyuk, C, Detroit 2007-2013 On-ice SV%: 92.33 2013-14 On-ice SV%: 89.26 Difference: -3.07 Eric Nystrom, LW, Nashville 2007-2013 On-ice SV%: 92.38 2013-14 On-ice SV%: 89.29 Difference: -3.09 Michal Rozsival, D, Chicago 2007-2013 On-ice SV%: 92.51 2013-14 On-ice SV%: 89.40 Difference: -3.11 Frans Nielsen, C, N.Y. Islanders 2007-2013 On-ice SV%: 91.85 2013-14 On-ice SV%: 88.64 Difference: -3.21 Michael Grabner, LW, N.Y. Islanders 2007-2013 On-ice SV%: 91.57 2013-14 On-ice SV%: 88.25 Difference: -3.32 Dustin Byfuglien, RW, Winnipeg 2007-2013 On-ice SV%: 92.03 2013-14 On-ice SV%: 88.66 Difference: -3.37 Dmitry Kulikov, D, Florida 2007-2013 On-ice SV%: 92.89 2013-14 On-ice SV%: 89.49 Difference: -3.40 Mike Cammalleri, LW, Calgary 2007-2013 On-ice SV%: 92.06 2013-14 On-ice SV%: 88.59 Difference: -3.47 Ryane Clowe, LW, New Jersey 2007-2013 On-ice SV%: 92.21 2013-14 On-ice SV%: 88.72 Difference: -3.49 Keith Ballard, D, Minnesota 2007-2013 On-ice SV%: 93.41 2013-14 On-ice SV%: 89.88 Difference: -3.53 Taylor Pyatt, LW, Pittsburgh 2007-2013 On-ice SV%: 93.83 2013-14 On-ice SV%: 90.07 Difference: -3.76 T.J. Galiardi, LW, Calgary 2007-2013 On-ice SV%: 92.00 2013-14 On-ice SV%: 88.18 Difference: -3.82 Patrik Elias, LW, New Jersey 2007-2013 On-ice SV%: 91.58 2013-14 On-ice SV%: 87.67 Difference: -3.91 Lee Stempniak, RW, Pittsburgh 2007-2013 On-ice SV%: 92.74 2013-14 On-ice SV%: 88.38 Difference: -4.36 On the other end of the save percentage spectrum, is it a collection of players that are clueless around their own end? Not especially. Theres an all-time great two-way forward, Pavel Datsyuk, and a puck-rushing defenceman-turned-forward Dustin Byfuglien that might be considered at opposite ends of the defensive spectrum by some, but it really appears to be a random list that includes both offensive and defensive players. Are they players who have had some shaky goaltending behind them this year? Yes. Stempniak, Galiardi and Cammalleri have been victims of Calgarys subpar puck-stoppers, while Elias and Clowe take some lumps with New Jerseys goaltending. This group consists of the players that have been unlucky relative to previous seasons and, aside from Pyatt and Stempniak, who joined Pittsburgh in-season, the rest are all on teams that rank in the bottom third of save percentage this season. The takeaway, then, is not to worry so much about Stempniak being minus-21 in 52 games with the Flames because, with better goaltending alone, he would be due to improve, and hes quickly plus-5 in his first 15 games with Pittsburgh. Patrik Elias may be a minus player, but he continues to be a strong possession player whose numbers would appear more favourable with the randomness of better goaltending when hes on the ice. Thats the story to be revealed by some of these numbers, that some players are getting good breaks this year, others arent and, in the relatively small sample of a single season of hockey, these things happen. Over time, those numbers tend to even out, so the players that have been fortunate this year, may be hard-pressed to duplicate their success, while those that have been getting a bit of a raw deal could be expected to have better days ahead. Scott Cullen can be reached at Scott.Cullen@bellmedia.ca and followed on Twitter at http://twitter.com/tsnscottcullen. For more, check out TSN Fantasy on Facebook. ' ' '